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Le Mans FC vs Angers

Fri 22 Jan 2027, 23:00 UTC · Round 17 · Data confidence: Low (promoted/new team)

Match Result (1X2)

Le Mans FC win: 47.9%

Draw: 21.3%

Angers win: 30.8%

Predicted: Le Mans FC

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 46.2%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 46.8%

Corners

Expected total corners: 8.94

More corners: Le Mans FC (52.0% home / 48.0% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Le Mans FC

Yes

Probability Le Mans FC wins or draws: 54.2%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Le Mans FC Clearest lean of the available outcomes (48% vs next-best 31%). (48.0% model probability) Medium

Favorite Avoids Defeat Le Mans FC win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (54.0% model probability) Medium

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.